Global dealmakers expect activity uptick in 2H22, reveals new survey

BY Fraser Tennant

Global M&A deal activity is expected to increase in the second half of 2022 despite challenging market conditions, according to a new Datasite survey.

In its ‘2H 2022 M&A Outlook’ survey, Datasite reveals that 68 percent of the more than 540 global dealmakers surveyed said they expect global deal volume to rise in the second half of 2022, with 41 percent expecting to see the biggest increase in transformational acquisitions or mergers, followed by debt financing at 37 percent and secondary buyouts at 34 percent.

Additionally, 78 percent of dealmakers are pricing at least a 5 to 7 percent increase in inflation, if not higher, into their financial valuation models for the rest of the year. When asked how inflation is expected to impact M&A deal flow, 46 percent of dealmakers said they expect a greater component of deals to be financed via equity, with an additional 34 percent predicting more straight cash deals.

Drilling down, the Datasite survey states that uncertain valuations, inflation and the Russia-Ukraine war are affecting other aspects of dealmaking, including deal size and the timing of completion. Dealmakers said the war, as well as inflation and the cost of capital, are factors likely to prevent a deal from closing before the end of 2022.

Qualitative feedback from dealmakers also points to uncertainty around valuations as another factor having a significant impact on M&A overall, including pausing larger acquisitions and merger processes, especially among corporate and private equity dealmakers.

“Despite geopolitical uncertainties and overall market volatility, global deal activity itself is still strong,” said Rusty Wiley, chief executive of Datasite. “However, when it comes to valuations, dealmakers will likely adjust multiples downward so the net result may be lower valuations overall in the second half of the year.”

And while valuations are lowering, deal times are lengthening. “The median length of time for a new deal, or asset sale or merger, has increased by 5 percent year-over-year so far this year, while deal preparation time is also rising, up 31 percent, for the same time frame,” added Mr Wiley. “This means many dealmakers are ‘ready to go’ but have not launched their projects just yet.”

Report: 2H 2022 M&A Outlook

Amazon’s healthcare push continues

BY Richard Summerfield

Amazon has agreed to acquire primary care organisation One Medical in a deal valued at around $3.9bn.

Under the terms of the deal, Amazon will acquire One Medical for $18 per share in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $3.9bn, including One Medical’s net debt. Completion of the transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including approval by One Medical’s shareholders and regulatory approval. Upon completion, Amir Dan Rubin will remain as chief executive of One Medical.

“We think health care is high on the list of experiences that need reinvention,” said Neil Lindsay, senior vice president of Amazon Health Services. “Booking an appointment, waiting weeks or even months to be seen, taking time off work, driving to a clinic, finding a parking spot, waiting in the waiting room then the exam room for what is too often a rushed few minutes with a doctor, then making another trip to a pharmacy – we see lots of opportunity to both improve the quality of the experience and give people back valuable time in their days. We love inventing to make what should be easy easier and we want to be one of the companies that helps dramatically improve the healthcare experience over the next several years.”

He added: “Together with One Medical’s human-centered and technology-powered approach to health care, we believe we can and will help more people get better care, when and how they need it. We look forward to delivering on that long-term mission.”

“The opportunity to transform health care and improve outcomes by combining One Medical’s human-centered and technology-powered model and exceptional team with Amazon’s customer obsession, history of invention, and willingness to invest in the long-term is so exciting,” said Mr Rubin. “There is an immense opportunity to make the health care experience more accessible, affordable, and even enjoyable for patients, providers, and payers. We look forward to innovating and expanding access to quality healthcare services, together.”

One Medical, whose parent company is San Francisco-based 1Life Healthcare, Inc, is a membership-based service that offers virtual care as well as in-person visits. It also works with more than 8000 companies to provide its health benefits to employees. One Medical has about 767,000 members and 188 medical offices in 25 markets, according to its first-quarter earnings report, which also showed the company had incurred a net loss of $90.9m after pulling in $254.1m in revenue.

Amazon’s interest in healthcare services has been growing for some time. In 2018, the company acquired online pharmacy PillPack for $750m before opening its own online drug store that allows customers to order medication or prescription refills and have them delivered to their front door in a couple of days. And last year, it began offering its Amazon Care telemedicine programme to employers across the US.

News: Amazon strikes $3.5 bln deal for One Medical in long march into U.S. healthcare

Suncorp sells banking arm for $3.3bn

BY Richard Summerfield

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) has announced a $3.3bn deal to acquire the banking arm of insurer Suncorp Group.

Under the terms of the deal, ANZ will continue operating the Suncorp Bank brand for five years as it takes on an additional $47bn in home loans and $45bn in deposits.

The acquisition is subject to approval from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission and the federal treasurer, Jim Chalmers. The deal is also subject to a minimum completion period of 12 months and to certain other conditions.

“This proposal has been assessed through the lens of creating value for shareholders and, just as importantly, to ensure there is alignment of purpose and values and positive outcomes for our people and customers,” said Christine McLoughlin, chairman of Suncorp. “Suncorp Group, which is the proud home of several of Australia and New Zealand’s leading and most trusted insurance brands including AAMI, GIO, Shannons, Apia and Vero, and of course the Suncorp brand, will continue to offer the same great service to Queenslanders.

“Both businesses will benefit from a singular focus on their growth strategies and investment requirements,” she continued. “We believe the agreed price fairly values the Bank and reflects the hard work of our people and progress made on delivering our strategic objectives. Our purpose of building futures and protecting what matters – the focus of our company for over 100 years – will remain at our core and enable our people to deliver on our vision to create the leading Trans-Tasman insurance company.”

“The acquisition of Suncorp Bank will be a cornerstone investment for ANZ and a vote of confidence in the future of Queensland,” said Shayne Elliott, chief executive of ANZ. “With much of the work to simplify and strengthen the bank completed, and our digital transformation well-progressed, we are now in a position to invest in and reshape our Australian business. This will result in a stronger more balanced bank for customers and shareholders.

“ANZ has licenced the Suncorp Bank brand for five to seven years and we are committed to maintaining its current branch footprint in Queensland for at least three years post completion,” he added. “This is a growth strategy for ANZ and we will continue to invest in Suncorp Bank and in Queensland for the benefit of all stakeholders.”

Going forward, Suncorp will continue to be led by its current chief executive Clive van Horen, and according to Mr Elliott there will not be any job losses at the company for at least the next three years. The company’s insurance operations in Australia and New Zealand were not included in the deal.

News: Australia's ANZ to buy Suncorp banking arm for $3.3 billion, boost mortgage business

Legal fight looms as Musk abandons Twitter takeover

BY Richard Summerfield

Elon Musk has sought to abandon his $44bn takeover of social media giant Twitter Inc.

“Mr Musk is terminating the merger agreement because Twitter is in material breach of multiple provisions of that agreement, appears to have made false and misleading representations upon which Mr Musk relied when entering into the merger agreement, and is likely to suffer a Company Material Adverse Effect,” wrote lawyers for Mr Musk to Twitter.

Mr Musk has claimed that Twitter had failed to respond to multiple requests for information on fake or spam accounts on the platform, he also noted that he was walking away from the bid because Twitter had removed a number of high-ranking executives and one-third of the talent acquisition team, which was in contravention of the company’s obligation to “preserve substantially intact the material components of its current business organization”.

To walk away from the transaction, as per the merger agreement filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Mr Musk must be able prove that Twitter breached the original agreement or risk being sued for a $1bn breakup fee.

In response to Mr Musk’s claims, Twitter said that it planned to sue Mr Musk to complete the $44bn merger and that it was “confident” it would prevail. “The Twitter board is committed to closing the transaction on the price and terms agreed upon with Mr Musk and plans to pursue legal action to enforce the merger agreement,” said Bret Taylor, chair of the board at Twitter, in a tweet.

The ‘on again, off again’ relationship between Twitter and Mr Musk, at one point the company’s largest shareholder, has played havoc with the company’s share price in recent months. Mr Musk announced an agreement to acquire the company on 25 April, having offered to purchase all of the company’s shares for $54.20 each; the company’s stock is currently trading at around $36.81 per share. Twitter’s share price fell by 7 percent in extended trading after the announcement that Mr Musk was planning to walk away from the deal.

The likelihood of the deal being completed has been in question for some time. On 13 May, Mr Musk said the deal was “on hold” while he awaited details supporting Twitter’s assertion that fewer than 5 percent of its users were spam or fake accounts. Mr Musk claimed that the true figure was 20 percent and said Twitter would need to show proof of the lower number for the purchase to go through.

News: Twitter vows legal fight after Musk pulls out of $44 billion deal

Kohl’s and Franchise Group deal dead

BY Richard Summerfield

Following a strategic review, department store chain Kohl’s Corp has announced that it has decided against selling itself to the Franchise Group.

According to a statement from Kohl’s announcing the decision, the company’s board and management team remain committed to creating value for shareholders and are exploring further opportunities in the near and long term. Kohl’s board also reaffirmed its commitment to executing a $500m accelerated share repurchase programme, to commence immediately following the company’s Q2 earnings results. This programme is part of Kohl’s previously announced $3bn share repurchase authorisation.

The company also confirmed that its board also currently reviewing other opportunities to unlock shareholder value, including re-evaluating monetisation opportunities for portions of the company’s real estate portfolio.

“Throughout this process, the board has been committed to a deep and comprehensive review of strategic alternatives with the goal of selecting the path that maximizes value for shareholders," said Peter Boneparth, chair of the board at Kohl’s. “After engaging with more than 25 parties in an exhaustive process, FRG emerged as the top bidder and we entered into exclusive negotiations and facilitated further due diligence. Despite a concerted effort on both sides, the current financing and retail environment created significant obstacles to reaching an acceptable and fully executable agreement. Given the environment and market volatility, the Board determined that it simply was not prudent to continue pursuing a deal.”

He continued: “As always, the Board remains open to all opportunities to maximize value for shareholders, and we look forward to actively engaging with our shareholders as we move forward to ensure we are considering their perspectives in our plans. Kohl’s is a financially strong Company that generates substantial free cash flow and has a clear plan to enhance its competitive position and improve performance over the long term. Highlighting the Board’s confidence in the Company’s strategic plan, the Board reaffirms its commitment to an accelerated share repurchase program following the Company’s Q2 earnings results announcement.”

In June, the companies announced they had entered an exclusive three-week negotiation period, with Franchise Group expected to acquire Kohl’s in an all-cash deal worth $60 per Kohl’s share held, valuing the company at around $8bn. The bid of $60 per share constituted a premium of around 42.5 percent to Kohl’s closing price on the last day of trading before the deal was announced.

Kohl’s has faced significant activist unrest in recent months, with activist investors pressing for the sale of the company and a shakeup of the board.

Kohl’s recently lowered its profit-and-revenue forecasts for the full year, which is also believed to have further complicated the potential deal with Franchise Group. Kohl’s sales for the three-month period to 30 April 2022 fell to $3.72bn from $3.89bn in 2021.

News: Kohl's abandons talks to sell itself to Franchise Group