Property price growth rate drops - report

BY Richard Summerfield

Property price growth rates have slowed in many of the world’s major city markets, according a new report from Knight Frank and EY.

In recent years, affordability has become a problem, limiting price growth. The report, entitled 'Global Tax Report 2015', examines holding and selling costs for overseas buyers of prime residential property between 2010 and 2015. According to the data, the slower rate of price growth in most major markets has made transaction costs and taxation increasingly important factors for investors.

“When purchasing property as an investment, tax is not necessarily the first concern but it is important because it is often the after-tax return that measures the success of the investment," said Carolyn Steppler, private client tax services partner at EY, UK & Ireland. "Our research shows that the tax burden across the cities in this report varies considerably both in amount and extent,” she added.

The joint report examines non-tax purchase, management and sale costs across 15 leading global cities, highlighting considerable variations. For example, international investors hoping to acquire property overseas can get the lowest costs in Shanghai. Monaco offers the lowest level of taxation when purchasing property valued between $1m and $10m.

The cost of UK tax equates to around 9.7 percent and 20.7 percent for $1m and $10m properties respectively. Taxation governing residential property in the UK and London specifically has changed considerably over the last two years. In December 2014, progressive stamp duty land tax rates were introduced, and in April 2015 the taxation of capital gains on the disposal of property by non-resident owners was also introduced. Potential alterations to inheritance tax in the UK could also impact activity as certain property investment structures will become much less attractive to investors. However, London’s position as an economic and cultural powerhouse will help maintain the city's lustre for international investors.

Cities where property costs are highest include Paris, Berlin and Geneva, with costs for a $10m property can exceed 10 percent.

Report: Global Tax Report 2015

Volatile global markets leave financial services sector in business volume slowdown

BY Fraser Tennant

Volatile global markets are having a marked effect on the financial services sector with business volumes slowing from July to September, according to the latest CBI/PwC Financial Services Survey.

Strong competition is being blamed for the slowdown, with financial services firms taking a big hit on fees & commissions, net interest, investment and trading income.

Despite this impact on income growth, the overall business situation is viewed as stable, with profitability still growing, albeit at a significantly slower rate than that seen in recent years.

The Survey’s key findings include: (i) 25 percent of financial services firms reporting that business volumes were up, while 21 percent said they were down (the slowest rate of growth seen since September 2013); (ii) 24 percent of firms expecting business volumes to increase, while 8 percent believe they will fall; and (iii) 28 percent of financial services firms stating that they felt more optimistic about the overall business situation compared with three months ago, while 26 percent said they felt less optimistic (the lowest rate of growth since September 2012).

“The winds of volatility blowing through global markets have left a clear mark on the financial services sector, impacting business volumes and investment intentions, particularly in investment management and securities trading," said Rain Newton-Smith, director of economics at the CBI.

“Nevertheless, building societies’ business volumes have rebounded, and with financial sector costs under control, profitability is in good shape. At the same time, investment in IT is set to increase as firms aim to improve efficiency.”

Mr Newton-Smith also points out that slower growth in China and other emerging markets has had a knock-on impact on confidence in the world economy, with the Federal Reserve holding off raising interest rates in the United States.

Kevin Burrowes, PwC’s UK financial services leader, added: “Business confidence among banks flat-lined in the quarter leading to September 2015, leaving the sector cautious over its short-term outlook. Recent macro-economic events such as the fall in oil prices, China’s Black Monday, and the ongoing turmoil in global stock markets might have fuelled this sentiment. With interest rates expected to remain on hold, growth for UK banks continues to be challenging.”

Challenging for sure, but the outlook for the financial services sector is encouraging with growth forecast to pick up over the coming months (keeping pace with business volumes in  life insurance, building societies and securities trading), although still well short of the growth levels seen in early 2015.

Report: CBI/PwC Financial Services Survey – September 2015

Volkswagen chief quits as emissions gloom gathers

BY Richard Summerfield

Volkswagen’s chief executive, Martin Winterkorn, announced his resignation yesterday in light of the increasing scandal around the German car manufacturer’s rigging of emission tests in the US.

Mr Winterkorn’s resignation was a long time coming. Analysts had expected his departure from the firm as soon as the news broke, but Mr Winterkorn remained in his position until Wednesday, only tendering his resignation following an emergency board meeting in the company’s native Germany.

“I am shocked by the events of the past few days. Above all, I am stunned that misconduct on such a scale was possible in the Volkswagen Group” said Mr Winterkorn is a statement released at the conclusion of the meeting. “As CEO I accept responsibility for the irregularities that have been found in diesel engines and have therefore requested the Supervisory Board to agree on terminating my function as CEO of the Volkswagen Group. I am doing this in the interests of the company even though I am not aware of any wrongdoing on my part. Volkswagen needs a fresh start - also in terms of personnel. I am clearing the way for this fresh start with my resignation.”

Volkswagen also vowed to prosecute those individuals responsible for the scheme to cheat US anti-pollution testing, though the company has not yet stated how many people were involved or whether their identities are known. A special investigative subcommittee has been established by Volkswagen in order to establish the facts of the case.

Volkswagen has championed diesel vehicles in both Europe and the US. Diesel engines account for just three percent of new cars sold in the US, compared to around half in Europe. Better fuel economy and lower carbon emissions have proven to be key selling points for Volkswagen and the wider automotive industry, however the suggestion that the German manufacturer – and possibly other firms – utilised ‘defeat devices’ to beat emissions tests could have long-term repercussions.

To date, Volkswagen has recalled nearly half a million vehicles in the US alone, setting aside around $7bn to cover costs. However, should it be required to modify the 11 million vehicles worldwide that are believed to have the software responsible for the falsified figures, $7bn would be grossly inadequate. Furthermore, Volkswagen could face fines of more than $18bn from the US Environmental Protection Agency. In addition to the internal probe launched by the company, the US Department of Justice has also launched a criminal investigation that could result in indictments against Volkswagen executives.

News: Volkswagen boss quits over diesel scandal

Schlumberger and Cameron agree $14.8bn merger

BY Richard Summerfield

Given the current volatility in commodities, it is little surprise that we are beginning to see more M&A activity in the oil and gas space. To that end, Schlumberger Ltd announced this week its agreement to acquire Cameron International Corp in a deal worth around $14.8bn, including the assumption of debt.

Under the terms of the deal, Cameron shareholders will receive 0.716 Schlumberger shares and a cash payment of $14.44. According to a statement released by the two firms, the agreement places a value of $66.36 per Cameron share, a premium of 37 percent to Cameron’s 20 day volume weighted average price of $48.45 per share. The deal has been approved by the board of directors at both firms. Pending shareholder, regulatory and other closing conditions, the transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2016.

Regulatory approval could pose an issue for the two companies. In November, Schlumberger's two closest rivals - Halliburton Co and Baker Hughes Inc - agreed to merge in an effort to lower costs in a pressurised market, but the deal was blocked by antitrust authorities in the US. However, the fact that there is little crossover between the services offered by Schlumberger and Cameron may allay any regulatory concerns.

The acquisition of Cameron is an important one for Schlumberger, given the company’s standing as one of the world’s largest producers of energy equipment. In the statement, Paal Kibsgaard, chairman and chief executive of Schlumberger, noted, “This agreement with Cameron opens new and broader opportunities for Schlumberger. At our investor conference in June 2014, we highlighted how the E&P industry must transform to deliver increased performance at a time of range-bound commodity prices. With oil prices now at lower levels, oilfield services companies that deliver innovative technology and greater integration while improving efficiency, which our customers increasingly demand, will outperform the market.”

The proposed merger of the two companies is not the first time they have been associated. In 2012 the firms established a joint venture – OneSubsea - to target the deepwater industry. OneSubsea is a supplier of heavy duty machinery which allows Big Oil firms to control the flows of oil and gas they find and bring it to the surface.

The acquisition of Cameron is expected to help Schlumberger achieve significant synergies, by lowering operating costs, streamlining supply chains and improving manufacturing processes.

Jack Moore, chairman and chief executive of Cameron, said, “This exciting transaction builds on our successful partnership with Schlumberger on OneSubsea and will position Cameron for its next phase of growth. For our shareholders, this combination provides significant value, while also enabling them to own a meaningful share of Schlumberger. Together, we will create a premier oilfield equipment and service company with an integrated and expanded platform to drive accelerated growth. By bringing together Cameron and Schlumberger, we will be uniting two great companies with successful track records, performance and value creation.  We look forward to working closely with Schlumberger to achieve a seamless post-closing integration and long term value for all of our stakeholders.”

News: Schlumberger to buy oilfield gear maker Cameron in $14.8bn deal

The times they are a-changing

BY Richard Summerfield

The insurance industry is changing at an unprecedented level according to a new report from PwC. 'Insurance 2020 and Beyond: Necessity is the mother of reinvention' reviews  developments in the industry set against PwC’s initial projections, and is based on interviews with more than 80 chief executives officers around the world.

The insurance space is at an important crossroads. Going forward, the industry will need to deal with significant changes to customer behaviour and acclimatise to technological advancements and new distribution and business models. More stringent local, regional and global regulatory developments will also contribute to the changing nature of the industry between now and 2020.

The report, which took five years to produce, notes that digital developments in particular have had a significant impact on the insurance space – an impact that is likely to grow over the next five years. Digital developments have helped insurers to enhance their customer profiling, develop sales leads, tailor their financial solutions to individual needs and, for non-life businesses, improve claims assessment and settlement.

Many of the firms surveyed said they have taken steps to improve their digital distribution channels. They have initiated new programs to help integrate their product lines into a client’s life, with pay-as-you-drive applications for smartphones just one example of such integration.

Going forward companies will be required to utilise ever more sophisticated sensors, big data analytics and communicating networks as the much lauded ‘Internet of Things’ becomes more commonplace. Jamie Yoder, PwC Global Insurance Advisory Leader, notes, “The emerging game changer is the change in analytics, from descriptive (what happened) and diagnostic (why it happened) analysis to predictive (what is likely to happen) and prescriptive (determining and ensuring the right outcome).”

Report: Insurance 2020 and beyond: Necessity is the mother of reinvention