BY Fraser Tennant
European private equity (PE) dealmaking was strong through the first half of 2022, with record dry powder and the rise of private credit funds keeping the deal environment moving, according to a Pitchbook report published this week.
In its ‘European PE Breakdown’, Pitchbook reveals that despite an unpredictable macroeconomic and policy environment, and continued downside volatility, PE dealmaking across Europe continued to be resilient in the first half of 2022.
The report also makes clear that deal size, not deal count, was behind the record deal value seen in the first half of the year. Transactions got larger, with the median deal size accelerating to €47.6m. Deals sized greater than €2.5bn hiked nearly three times in deal value compared to H1 2021.
“Sponsors’ record dry powder levels and the rise of private credit funds has kept the deals environment moving, as the syndicated loan and high yield debt markets come under stress,” said Dominick Mondesir, senior analyst of EMEA private capital at Pitchbook. “Sponsors doubled down on their investment sweet spots, as they were able to take advantage of softer multiples.”
Key takeaways from the report include: (i) deal value totalled €463.5bn through 30 June, a year-over-year (YOY) increase of nearly 35 percent, driven primarily by a spike in deal sizes; (ii) take-private activity also increased over H1 2021, and with take-privates offering one of the best risk-reward plays for PE firms, they are expected to remain a major theme in 2022; (iii) exit volume remained flat, but cumulative exit value fell by 25 percent YoY as valuations dropped; and (iv) fund count is pacing toward its lowest total ever, with just 40 vehicles closed in H1, as limited partners struggle to keep up with general partners’ demand for capital.
However, despite these strong H1 figures, Pitchbook forecasts that the second half of the year may be a different story, with slowing growth, rising interest rates and the possibility of a recession potentially leading to a more pressurised dealmaking environment.
Mr Mondesir concluded: “In the second half of the year, we expect the dealmaking environment to experience rapidly declining consumer and business confidence, rising high yield credit spreads, falling GDP, accelerating inflation, and the expectation of further interest rate increases, which is likely to cause a recession underpinned by stagflation.”
Report: European PE Breakdown